Exclusive Summaries & Forecasts For
The Inland Northwest
By Climatologist Bob Lutz
Inland Northwest Summary Issued:
Long-Term Weather Model Agreement for the Pacific Northwest is:
(POOR= Forecast Changes are Likely * GOOD= Fair Agreement, but Changes are Possible * EXCELLENT= Changes Unlikely)
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Short-Term Weather Outlook
As I have been talking about
for much of the week, the weekend forecast has been questionable with the models flip-flopping on the potential for precipitation.
This trend continues even this late in the game, leading to a low confidence forecast into early next week. This means
that the forecast will be subject to change on short notice. As it stands now, I am still expecting a couple of weak disturbances
to move through during the weekend... One tonight and early Saturday, and the other by late Sunday. The best chance
of dry weather will be Saturday afternoon and again Sunday during the day. Any strengthening or stalling of these systems
could result in a wetter forecast. The weekend will also be plagued with areas of low clouds and fog as well, which
may be persistent in some locations.
The latest long-range forecast models are still showing a general unsettled pattern continuing into the foreseeable
future, but agreement on the longer range forecast details remain below average as the pattern becomes increasingly
more complex. This is due to a strong storm meandering around in the Eastern Pacific which will be driving the main
storm track up and down the West coast like a fire hose. This opens the door for many scenarios next week. I suspect
we will continue to see periods of precipitation along with drier weather at times. The next round of more organized storms
off the Pacific look to approach the area by late Monday which will likely increase the chance of valley
rain and high mtn snow once again.
(Please note that updated Weather Summaries will be
issued as needed, and at times twice daily during periods of very active weather and winter storm episodes. During periods of inactive weather, updates will be less frequent)